Ohio State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
233  Evan Stifel SO 32:22
273  Nick Elswick SO 32:28
421  Clayton Bowie SO 32:49
532  Michael Brajdic SR 33:03
551  Mitch Leitch SO 33:04
1,021  Luke Landis FR 33:49
1,122  Jared Fleming JR 33:57
1,290  Kevin Blank SO 34:12
1,548  Patrick Kunkel JR 34:35
National Rank #69 of 308
Great Lakes Region Rank #8 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.3%
Top 10 in Regional 89.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Evan Stifel Nick Elswick Clayton Bowie Michael Brajdic Mitch Leitch Luke Landis Jared Fleming Kevin Blank Patrick Kunkel
All Ohio Championships 10/02 988 32:54 32:37 32:39 33:13 33:03 33:18 34:06 33:43
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 857 32:10 32:22 32:34 32:44 32:59 33:23 33:27
Big Ten Championships 11/01 885 32:15 32:17 33:04 32:31 33:16 36:58 34:21 34:12 36:01
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 997 32:22 32:42 33:13 34:17 33:06 33:27 34:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 30.1 741 0.0 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 8.7 251 0.1 0.5 1.6 5.1 11.0 27.4 25.6 18.3 6.2 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Stifel 1.0% 151.0
Nick Elswick 0.3% 145.0
Clayton Bowie 0.1% 187.5
Michael Brajdic 0.1% 223.2
Mitch Leitch 0.1% 206.5
Luke Landis 0.1% 239.5
Jared Fleming 0.1% 245.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Stifel 28.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.5 2.7 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.3 3.2
Nick Elswick 33.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.7 3.3
Clayton Bowie 49.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3
Michael Brajdic 60.3
Mitch Leitch 62.1 0.0 0.0
Luke Landis 105.7
Jared Fleming 115.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 60.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3
4 0.5% 7.4% 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 4
5 1.6% 2.5% 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.0 5
6 5.1% 5.1 6
7 11.0% 11.0 7
8 27.4% 27.4 8
9 25.6% 25.6 9
10 18.3% 18.3 10
11 6.2% 6.2 11
12 2.5% 2.5 12
13 1.1% 1.1 13
14 0.4% 0.4 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0